The transformation graveyard: why 70% of programs quietly fail
The failure isn't the plan. It's the eighteen months after the plan.
Every large transformation starts the same way: a compelling deck, an energized steering committee, a kickoff with catering. Somewhere around month six, the sponsors get promoted, the budget gets "rephased," and the program becomes a status meeting that nobody wants to cancel first.
The industry's dirty secret is that this outcome is priced in. Firms staff for the diagnosis because that's where the margin is; execution is somebody else's problem, usually yours. The strategy was never wrong — it was just never owned by anyone with the authority to be fired over it.
Our fix is boring and unfashionable: smaller programs, named owners, quarterly kill criteria, and a rule that no recommendation leaves the room without a first ninety days attached. Boring is what shipping looks like.